Since he became the president, did President Trump act with the transparency and the integrity
that you expect from a president?” 675 voters responded the poll and 351 responded “YES.”
Assume that 40% of the U.S. population supports Trump.
a. Define a binary random variable, Y, for supporting Trump (Y=1) vs. not (Y=0).
Calculate the population mean (????????) and variance (????????
2
) for supporting Trump.
b. Calculate the sample mean ????̅ and the sample standard deviation of ????̅ (????????̅ ) for the poll.
c. Calculate the standard error of ????̅ and construct a 95% confidence interval from the
poll using ????̅ and its sample standard error.
d. Conduct a two-sided hypothesis test at 5% significance level to determine whether
40% of the U.S. population supports Trump. State the null and the alternative
hypotheses, calculate the test statistics and the associated p-value, and conclude. Is
the Fox News survey reliable? Why? Why Not?
e. Suppose that you wanted to design a survey that had a margin of error of at most 1%.
That is: the difference between the upper bound and the lower bound of the
confidence interval should be a maximum of 2 percentage points. For example, for
????̅ = 0.52 you are aiming for the 95 % CI to be [0.51 0.53].
How large should n be if the survey uses simple random sampling?
he efficacy of this spending is therefore relatively important. When it comes to contagious diseases, there are generally two strategies that can be adopted. The first involves prevention, which includes vaccinations to lower or eliminate the risk of contracting a disease. The second involves treatment of those unfortunate enough to get sick, treatment typically requires some form of a drug. Since pharmaceutical companies can produce both vaccines and drugs, we would like to understand the incentives they have to develop each type of medicine. To explore this question, consider a population of 100 consumers, 90 of whom have a low disease risk, say 10%. The remaining ten have a high risk – to make things simple, assume they are certain to contract the disease. In addition, suppose the disease generates personal harm equal to the loss of $100 for each individual when they are infected. Suppose also that pharmaceuticals of either form (vaccines or drugs) are costless to produce (once R & D has occurred) and are perfectly effective
Question 2. What price would a profit maximising monopolist charge for a vaccine? What are the monopoly profits on the vaccine? What is the efficient outcome (i.e. SMB = SMC)? What is the welfare under the monopoly and at the efficient allocation?
Question 3.Now consider the demand for the drug (assume that the vaccine is not available). Construct the demand function for the drug and plot it on a diagram. What price would a profit maximising monopolist charge for the drug? What are the monopoly profits from the drug? What is the efficient outcome? What is the welfare under the monopoly and at the efficient allocation?
Question 4. If the R&D costs of the vaccine and drug are the same, what will the pharmaceutical company do? Explain your answer in terms of the variation in the willingness to pay and the size of the R& D costs. What would a social planner do?
Question 5. What are the R&D cost for the vaccine and the R&D cost for the vaccine drug that would make a pharmaceutical company indifferent between developing the vaccine and the drug? Is the social planner indifferent in this case? Explain any difference.