The probability for a student to plagiarize an essay and not be caught is john habitually plagiarizes all his essays

assignment is 80%. If he finishes the first assignment, the probability that he finishes the 2nd assignment is 40%. If he does not finish the first assignment, the probability that he finishes the 2nd assignment is 70%. Find the probability that he finishes at least one assignment. Include a modified probability tree diagram with your answer. Round to two decimal places.

first 2 weeks. 50 people who joined the programme are sampled, their weight loss is 9 pounds with a standard deviation of 2.8 pounds. Can we conclude at the .05 level that a person joining the programme will lose less than 10 pounds? (2) The following is a random sample of 90-day futures prices in dollars for 1 troy oz. of silver from The Wall Street Journal issues in May and June of 1997: 4.74, 4.77, 4.87, 4.91, 4.83, 4.72, 4.92, 4.86, 4.97, 4.71, 4.90, 4.93, 4.75, 4.88, 4.79, 4.83, 4.89. Required: a. Calculate the mean b. Median c. Standard deviation of the 90-day future price of silver data (3) A mining company needs to estimate the average amount of copper ore per ton mined. A random sample of 50 tons gives a sample mean of 146,75 pounds. The population standard deviation is assumed to be 35.2 pounds. Required: a. Give a 95% confidence interval for the average amount of copper in the population of tons mined. b. Give a 90% confidence interval for the average amount of coper per ton c. Give a 99% confidence interval for the average amount of coper per ton (4) An e-commerce Website gets 2,385 visitors on a particular day. Among these, 1790 visitors explore the products by looking at more pages at the site. Among these 1790 visitors who explore the products, 387 make a purchase. Required: a. If a visitor chosen at random from all those who visited the site, what is the probability that the visitor explored the products b. If a visitor is chosen at random from all those who visited the site, what is the probability that the visitor made a purchase. c. If a visitor is chosen at random from all those who explored the products, what is the probability that the visitor made a purchase. d. Which of the preceding three probabilities is relevant to the design of the home page that leads to product page.

of the quiz is 15 minutes. Topics for the quiz are: Probability Revision, Dynamic Programming, Markov Process, Markov Chain Properties, Hidden Markov Model, Undirected Graphical Method. I am trying to send all the study materials, but file size is large and it isn't allowing me to send. Please message me for further details regarding study materials so that I will share them with you and you can have a look.

rd deviation of 3.2 hours. A sample of 35 high school seniors is selected. Find the following values, if possible. Please round your answers to four decimal places. If you should not find a probability, please write NA for your answer. What is the probability that the sample mean studying time is between 4 and 5 hours? What is the probability that the sample mean studying time is less than 6 hours? What is the probability that the sample mean studying time is more than 8.5 hours?

ions, Cartesian coordinates, graphs, kinematics. Trigonometric functions Exponential and logarithmic functions Limits and differentiation Algebra, vector and matrices Combinatorics and Probability This task is divided in 3 stages. each stage will have its own milestone and will be released upon completion and review. Please just bid if you are available for all the tasks, check carefully the times. Complete a questionary with the math questions, approx. 7 pages every answer should be complete and extensive and fully explained in order to be fully understood the process. Approx. time 2 to 2.5 hours. Task 2 will take place on Monday, September 6, 2021 at: 1:00pm / 13:00 Coordinated Universal Time (UTC) This task will include a similar questionary with A B OR C Answers, approx time 1.5 hours to 2 hours, This questions will be provided one by one and requires that we connect by chat live. Task 3 will take place on Monday, September 6, 2021 at: 1:00pm / 13:00 Coordinated Universal Time (UTC) after task2 Upon completion of task 2 a document similar to task 1 will be provided in pdf, this one need to be completed within 4 hours after provided approx. 7 pages every answer should be complete and extensive and fully explained in order to be fully understood the process. For now I will provide task 1 document.

of Sport-Equip Ltd, a company that sells sports equipment. Some of the users who visit the website end up buying sports equipment from the website while others are simply browsing in order to obtain product information. (a) Clearly explain and justify which probability distribution you would use to describe the number of Internet users who visit the website of Sport-Equip Ltd in a one hour period. [There is no need to calculate any probabilities for this part of the question] (5 marks) (b) What is the probability that during any half-hour period, there will be less than 3 visitors to the website? (5 marks) (c) What is the probability that during any two-hour period, there will be more than 15 visitors to the website? (5 marks) (d) If a user has just visited the website, find the probability that the website will have another visitor within the next 10 minutes. In your answer, state the probability distribution you have used and explain your choice. (4 marks) (e) It is estimated that 40% of Internet users who visit Sport-Equip Ltd’s website buy a product from the company. If 100 users visit the website over a given period of time, find the probability that more than 50 of them will buy a product from the company. In your answer, state the probability distribution you have used and explain your choice

y aces or twos, you lose the game immediately. You also lose if you draw picture cards(J,Q,K) more than twice. In this question, you’ll study the probability of winning this game.(a) What is the probability of drawing no aces or twos after thirteen draws?(b) Given you have drawn thirteen times, none of which is aces or twos, what is the probability that you draw at most two picture cards?(c) What is the probability to win this game? 12. Suppose you are tossing an unbiased coin for100times.(a) What is the probability of getting50heads and50tails?(b) LetXbe the random variable counting the number of heads you observe in this exper-iment. What is the expected value ofX? What is the variance ofX? What is thestandard deviation ofX? 13. The following are probability distributions for two random variablesX,Y. kPr(X=k) 0,0.4 1,0.3 2,0.3 kPr(Y=k) 0,0.5 1,0.3 2,0.2 (a) Construct the probability distribution table for the random variableXY.(b) Find E[X],E[Y] and E[XY]. Is is true that E[XY] =E[X]E[Y]?(c) Find the variances σ2X,σ2Y,σ2XY of X,Y and XY. Is it true that σ2XY=σ2Xσ2Y? 14. The aliens who are fond of gambling came back to play another game with you. In this game, you first toss a coin5times. If you observe3or fewer tails, you roll a die3times. If youobserve4or more tails, you roll a die20times. What is the probability that you end up with at most two6’s in your dice rolls? 15. (Challenge question, worth2points) You have two bags, each of which contains10marbles.Each time you remove a marble from a random bag. What is the probability that after one of the bags is emptied, there are still exactly3marbles in the other bag?

- 1); I{x>1}, theta > 1. (a) Show that log Xi has an exponential distribution with a mean of 1/theta. (b) Find the form for a UMP test of H_0: theta <= theta_0 vs. H_a : theta > theta_0. (c) Give formula for nding the rejection region for a given value of alpha. Hint: use the result from (a) to find the distribution of the test statistic. (d) Conduct the test in (b) with alpha = 0.05 and theta_0 = 1:5 using the dataset: {1.2, 2.4, 1.3, 1.7, 1.9}. (e) Find the form of a UMPU test for testing H_0 : theta = theta_0 vs. H_a : theta_0 != theta_0. (f) Use the data in (d) to conduct the test in (e) with alpha = 0.05 and theta_0 = 1.5.

- 1); I{x>1}, theta > 1. (a) Show that log Xi has an exponential distribution with a mean of 1/theta. (b) Find the form for a UMP test of H_0: theta <= theta_0 vs. H_a : theta > theta_0. (c) Give formula for nding the rejection region for a given value of alpha. Hint: use the result from (a) to find the distribution of the test statistic. (d) Conduct the test in (b) with alpha = 0.05 and theta_0 = 1:5 using the dataset: {1.2, 2.4, 1.3, 1.7, 1.9}. (e) Find the form of a UMPU test for testing H_0 : theta = theta_0 vs. H_a : theta_0 != theta_0. (f) Use the data in (d) to conduct the test in (e) with alpha = 0.05 and theta_0 = 1.5.

- 1); I{x>1}, theta > 1. (a) Show that log Xi has an exponential distribution with a mean of 1/theta. (b) Find the form for a UMP test of H_0: theta <= theta_0 vs. H_a : theta > theta_0. (c) Give formula for nding the rejection region for a given value of alpha. Hint: use the result from (a) to find the distribution of the test statistic. (d) Conduct the test in (b) with alpha = 0.05 and theta_0 = 1:5 using the dataset: {1.2, 2.4, 1.3, 1.7, 1.9}. (e) Find the form of a UMPU test for testing H_0 : theta = theta_0 vs. H_a : theta_0 != theta_0. (f) Use the data in (d) to conduct the test in (e) with alpha = 0.05 and theta_0 = 1.5.

se cities is selected. What is the probability that the mean childhood asthma prevalence for the sample is greater than 2.8 %? Interpret this probability. Assume that 1.20 %.

lives. Suppose you are in class of 52 students. A) what is the probability that over 13 students experience stress B) if 23 students in the class said they felt stress in their daily lives would you be surprised Suppose the average ACT score for students taking the test in Illinois is in 2003 was 21.8 with a standard deviation of 3.85. What is the probability that 32 randomly selected students from that state average under 23 on the ACT that year?

2,3,4,7). If it lands tails, a fair six-sided die is thrown (with values 3,4,5,6,7,9). Regardless of which die is used, Alice eats n grains of rice, where n is the largest prime factor of the die result (for example, the largest prime factor of 9 is 3). (a) What is the conditional probability that the coin lands heads, given that Alice eats three grains of rice? (b) Suppose that the entire experiment is conducted twice on the following day (starting with a new coin toss on the second run-through). What is the conditional probability that the coin lands heads on both run-throughs, given that Alice eats a total of five grains of rice during the two run-throughs? (Do not count the two grains from part (a) in part (b); we assume two brand new experiments, each with a new coin toss. Start your solution by defining a suitable partition of the sample space. Please use an appropriate notation and/or justification in words, for each value that you give as part of your solution.) Exercise 5) Alice and Bob throw an unfair coin repeatedly, with probability 2/5 of landing heads. Alice starts with £2 and Bob starts with £3 . Each time the unfair coin lands heads, Alice gives Bob £1 . Each time the unfair coin lands tails, Bob gives Alice £1 . The game ends when one player has £5 . (a) Draw a labelled Markov chain describing the problem, and write down a transition matrix P. Write down the communication classes, and classify them as either recurrent or transient. (b) Using the transition matrix, calculate the probability that Alice loses all of her money in exactly four tosses of the unfair coin. (c) Calculate the (total) probability that Alice loses all of her money (before Bob loses all of his). (d) Calculate the expected (mean) number of tosses of the unfair coin, for the game to end.

two objects and recorded whether or not the dog being tested correctly chose the object indicated. A four-year-old male beagle named Augie participated in this study. He chose the correct object 42 out of 70 times when the experimenter leaned towards the correct object. (a) (2 points) Let the parameter of interest, π, represent the probability that the long-run probability that Augie chooses correctly. Researches are interested to see if Augie understands human body cues (better than gussing). Fill in the blanks for the null and alternative hypotheses. H0 : Ha : (b) (6 points) Based on the above context, conduct a test of significance to determine the p-value to investigate if domestic dogs understand human body cues. What conclusion will you draw with significance level of 10%? (If you use an applet, please specify which applet you use, and the inputs.) (c) (5 points) Based on the above context, conduct a test of significance to determine the p-value to investigate if domestic dogs understand human body cues. What conclusion will you draw with significance level of 5%? (If you use an applet, please specify which applet you use, and the inputs.) (d) (2 points) Are your conclusions from part (b) and (c) the same? If they are different, please provide an explanation. (e) (5 points) Shown below is a dotplot from a simulation of 100 sample proportions under the assump- tion that the long-run probability that Augie chooses correct is 0.50. Based on this dotplot, would a 90% confidence interval for π contain the value 0.5? Explain your answer. (f) (4 points) Compute the standard error of the sample proportion of times that Augie chose the object correctly. 1 (g) (5 points) (h) (3 points) question? (i) (4 points) (j) (4 points) A. B. C. Construct an approximate 95% confidence interval for π using the 2SD method. What is the margin of error of the confidence interval that you found in the previous How would you interpret the confidence interval that you found in part (g)? Which of the following is a correct interpretation of the 95% confidence level? If Augie repeats this process many times, then about 95% of the intervals produced will capture the true proportion of times of choosing the correct objective. About 95% times Augie chooses the correct objective. If Augie repeats this process and constructs 20 intervals from separate independent sam- ples, we can expect about 19 of those intervals to contain the true proportion Augie chooses the correct objective. (k) (4 points) object 21 out of 35 times. Conjecture how, if at all, the center and the width of a 99% confidence interval would change with these data, compared to the original 2SD 95% confidence interval. The center of the confidence interval would . The width of the confidence interval would . (l) (4 points) Suppose that we repeated the same study with Augie, and this time he chose the correct object 17 out of 35 times, and we also change the confidence level from 95% to 99%. Conjecture how, if at all, the center and the width of a 99% confidence interval would change with these data, compared to the original 2SD 95% confidence interval. Suppose that we repeated the same study with Augie, and this time he chose the correct The center of the confidence interval would The width of the confidence interval would . .

nd standard deviation 6 inches. A button hyperlink to the SALT program that reads: Use SALT. (a) What is the probability that an 18-year-old man selected at random is between 64 and 66 inches tall? (Round your answer to four decimal places.) Correct: Your answer is correct. (b) If a random sample of seven 18-year-old men is selected, what is the probability that the mean height x is between 64 and 66 inches? (Round your answer to four decimal places.) Incorrect: Your answer is incorrect. (c) Compare your answers to parts (a) and (b). Is the probability in part (b) much higher? Why would you expect this? The probability in part (b) is much higher because the standard deviation is smaller for the x distribution. The probability in part (b) is much higher because the standard deviation is larger for the x distribution. The probability in part (b) is much higher because the mean is smaller for the x distribution. The probability in part (b) is much higher because the mean is larger for the x distribution. The probability in part (b) is much lower because the standard deviation is smaller for the x distribution.

it sound like a math problem. The problem : What are the chances of a 4 sided die landing on 1 twice and on 2 twice out of 4 rolls. The solution I came up with originally was (2/4) x (2/4) x (2/4) x (2/4) . Which I realized was wrong as this allowed the die to land on 1 four times in a row. So then I came up with this soultion (which i still think is wrong) (2/4) x (2/4) x (1/4) x (1/4) . So the reasoning behind this is : The first roll obviously has a 50% chance to roll on either 1 or 2. Second roll is the same. BUT, lets say both of them land on 1, and now it HAS to land on 2 the remaining two times. So my problem is with the current solution that I have is what if the die lands on 1 on the first roll, then on two for the second one. then the third roll would still have a 2/4 AKA a 50% chance of landing on either one. I'm sure the last roll is 1/4 but I just dont know if the order matters on the rolls. This has been driving me crazy the last hour. Please help if you can thanks

6 minutes and the variance of the waiting time is 9. Find the probability that a person will wait for between 1 and 9 minutes. Round your answer to four decimal places.

.) for their eyesight. If 9 adults are randomly​ selected, find the probability that no more than 1 of them need correction for their eyesight. Is 1 a significantly low number of adults requiring eyesight​ correction?

with a mean life of 3000 hours and a standard deviation of 400 hours. What is the probability that a randomly selected light bulb last for more than 4000 hours?

on a subsample of weekly data from Randall’s Supermarket, one of the biggest in the UK. Randall’s marketing management team wishes to identify trends and patterns in a sample of weekly data collected for a number of their loyalty cardholders during a 26-week period. The data includes information on the customers’ gender, age, shopping frequency per week and shopping basket price. Randall’s operates two different types of stores (convenient stores and superstores) but they also sell to customers via an online shopping platform. The collected data are from all three different types of stores. Finally, the data provides information on the consistency of the customer’s shopping basket regarding the type of products purchased. These can vary from value products, to brand as well as the supermarket’s own high-quality product series Randall’s Top. As a business analyst you are required to analyse those data, make any necessary modifications in order to determine whether for any single customer it is possible to predict the value of their shopping basket. Randall’s marketing management team is only interested in identifying whether the spending of the potential customer will fall in one of three possible groups including: • Low spender (shopping basket value of £25 or less) • Medium Spender (shopping basket value between £25.01 and £70) and • High spenders (shopping basket greater than £70) For the purpose of your analysis you are provided with the data set Randall’s.xls. You have to decide, which method is appropriate to apply for the problem under consideration and undertake the necessary analysis. Once you have completed this analysis, write a report for the Randall’s marketing management team summarising your findings but also describing all necessary steps undertaken in the analysis. The manager is a competent business analyst himself/herself so the report can include technical terms, although you should not exceed five pages. Screenshots and supporting materials can be included in the appendix. Requirements After completing your analysis, you should submit a report that consists of two parts. Part A being a non-technical summary of your findings and Part B a detailed report of the analysis undertaken with more details. Part A: A short report for the Head of Randall’s Marketing Management (20 per cent). This should briefly explain the aim of the project, a clear summary and justification of the methods considered as well as an overview of the results. Although, the Head of Randall’s Marketing Management team who will receive this summary is a competent business analytics practitioner, the majority of the other team members have little knowledge of statistical modelling and want to know nothing about the technical and statistical underpinning of the techniques used in this analysis. This report should be no more than two sides of A4 including graphs, tables, etc. In this report you should include all the objectives of this analysis, summary of data and results as well as your recommendations (if any). Part B: A technical report on the various stages of the analysis (80 per cent). The analysis should be carried out using the range of analytics tools discussed: • SPSS Statistics Ensure that the exercise references: • Binary and multinomial logistic regression • Linear vs Logistic regression • Logit Model with odds Ratio • Co-efficients and Chi Squared • MLR co-efficients • Assessing usefulness of MLR model • Interpreting a model • Assessing over-all model fit with Psuedo R-Squared measures • Classification accuracy (Hit Ratio) • Wald Statistic • Odd ratio exp(B) • Ratio of the probability of an event happening vs not happening • Ratio of the odds after a unit change in the predictor to the original odds • Assumptions • Residuals analysis • Cook’s distance • DfBeta • Adequacy (with variance inflation factor VIF and tolerance statistic) • Outliers and influential points cannot just be removed. We need to check them (typo? – unusual data?) • Check for multicollinearity • Parsimony Write a short and concise report to explain the technical detail of what you have done for each step of the analysis. The report should also cover the following information: • Any type of analysis that might be useful and check whether the main assumptions behind the analyses do not hold or cannot be • Give evidence of the understanding of the statistical tools that you are using. For example, comment on the model selection procedure and the coefficient interpretation, e.g. comment on the interpretation of the logistic regression coefficients if such a method is used and provide an example of • Conclusions and explanation, in non-technical terms, of the main points

is the probability of an individual phone being defective? If a quality control engineer wants to carefully analyze a defective mobile phone, what is the probability of her getting at least one defective phone in a lot of 25? Is the probability high enough that the engineer can be reasonably sure of getting a defective mobile phone that can be used for her analysis?

lity... "As part of a probability experiment, Elliott is to answer 4 multiple-choice questions. For each question, there are 3 possible answers, only 1 of which is correct. If Elliott randomly and independently answers each question, what is the probability that he will answer the 4 questions correctly?" Solving the question I keep getting 1/256. My reasoning is that each question has a 1/4 chance of being right if you guessed, so 1/4 x 1/4 x 1/4 x 1/4 = 1/256. But my answer choices are as follows, with the correct answer being E: A. 27/81 B. 12/81 C. 4/81 D. 3/81 E. 1/81 Am I missing something? Or am I just completely solving this wrong?

de by credit card; you think this is true at your store as well. On a typical day you make 20 sales. Show that this situation can be modeled by a binomial distribution. For credit, you must discuss each of the criteria required for a binomial experiment. Define the random variable x in this scenario, using the context of the problem. List all possible values of x for this situation. On one trial for this scenario, what does “success” mean? Explain using the words of the problem. What is the probability of success in this scenario? What is the probability of failure in this scenario? Probability Distribution Instructions¬¬¬¬ In Excel, create a probability distribution for this scenario. Label Column A as “x” and Column B as “P(x).” In Column A, list the numbers 0 to 15. In Column B, use BINOM.DIST.RANGE to calculate the probability for each x value. Highlight the probability cells, then right click and select Format Cells. Format the probability cells as “Number” and have Excel show 4 decimal places. Create a probability histogram using the probabilities you calculated. Format and label it properly. Be sure to use the “Select Data” button to change the x-axis so it correctly lists the x-values.

75 with a sample standard deviation of 15; (this data is normally distributed). If she took a random sample of 64 students that shared this view Find: a) The probability that the average number of students that share this view is more than 78 students. b) The probability that the mean number of students that share this view is between 65 and 72

100 and a standard deviation of 15. a. What is the probability that a given applicant will score over 100? b. Determine the probability that a random applicant scores over 135. c. Determine the probability that an applicant scores between 85 and 135.

h the job the nations major airlines were doing. 10 adults Americans are selected at random and a number for satisfied with the airline is recorded. What is the probability that eight or more adult Americans were satisfied with the job the nations major airlines were doing?

actly 3 successes and 7 failures if each trial is independent of the others? What is the probability that only the first, third and fifth trials are successes and the rest are failures? 3 One is dealt 6 cards from a standard poker deck of 52 cards. What is the probability of getting 3 aces and 3 kings? What is the probability of getting the same except both pairs kings and aces are of the same suit (e.g., the same suit is missing from both).

ar $152000 life insurance policy. What is the expected value of the policy for the insurance company? Round your answer to the nearest cent.

incomplete dominance. The intermediate phenotype is pink flowers. Based on the following Punnett Square, what is the probability that an offspring will be homozygous dominant?

ng n distinct integers in just his thoughts. He plays turns on the list. In each turn he does the following– He takes a number (in its index’s order ) and swap it with any number in the list including itself i.e. if it swap it with itself it doesn’t move at all (The selection of the number is completely random). He does the same for all the elements in their index’s order in that turn. If initially the list was unsorted, such that, no element was in sorted position, then find the probability that the list is sorted after m such turns. Note : Take the assumption that if an element is not in its sorted position then it can be in any other n − 1 positions equally likely.

ut, triple chocolate, cinnamon sugar, chocolate chip, and peanut butter. If you must choose at least one cookie: (Answer to one decimal place) What is the probability that you do not take cookies that contain chocolate? Evaluate as a percent to the nearest 1 decimal place if rounding is required.

ads for the second is 3/4 . Other than this difference, the coins are indistinguishable. Alice chooses one of the coins at random and sends it to Bob. The random selection used by Alice to pick the coin to send to Bob is such that the first coin has a probability

ere 45 Republicans and 55 Democrats*. Use this information to answer the following. *Technically, 2 of these Senators were Independents or Independent Democrats, but caucused with the Democratic Party. Remember the rounding convention for a decimal value with more than 3 zeroes is to round to the second non-zero digit. If we choose a committee of 10 at random, what is the probability that they will all be Republicans?

e forecast calls for a 70% chance of snow on Saturday and a 50% chance of snow on Sunday. What is the probability that it will snow both days? I think the answer is 35% but my teacher disagrees. (0.7 x 0.5 = 0.35) Can you help me?

e forecast calls for a 70% chance of snow on Saturday and a 50% chance of snow on Sunday. What is the probability that it will snow both days? I think the answer was 35% but my teacher disagrees. Can you help me?

trials of the experiment are run. The table shows the frequency of any number of 5s occurring in the trials. Create a probability distribution for the discrete variable. Horizontal axis represents the probability distribution.

, mean and standard deviation. (keep getting incorrect answer)

A (refresher), linear regression, logistic regression, multivariate regression, chi square test (refresher), and more. CLT is a given, so are probability distributions; I eat MC simulations for breakfast. I only work in Excel; not so much interest in Crystal Ball and other add-ins; I have created my own VBA Excel functions such as Spearman(), triangularprobabilitydist() and PoissonInv(). So hit me with what you got, I am up to the challenge. looking for some fun and challenging time. Availability evenings and weekends; looking at 20+ hours of tutoring over next 6 weeks.

deo a plus) connection and use of the whiteboard. I am on Central European Time Zone (GMT+1). Topics: Continuous Probability Distributions, Assessing normality, Sampling Distribution and the Central Limit Theorem

ppose a package of M&M’s typically contains 52 M&M’s. a.) State the random variable. b.) Argue that this is a binomial experiment Find the probability that c.) Six M&M’s are brown. d.) Twenty-five M&M’s are brown. e.) All of the M&M’s are brown. f.) Would it be unusual for a package to have only brown M&M’s? If this were to happen, what would you think is the reason?

ence for hamburger or chicken. Of 200 respondents selected, 125 were male, 75 were female. 120 preferred hamburger and 80 preferred chicken. Of the males, 85 preferred hamburger. Suppose that two individuals are randomly selected. The probability that both prefer hamburger is: Question 8 options: a) 9/25 b) 3/5 c) 357/995 d) 17/40

weighing between 140 lb and 191 lb. The new population of pilots has normally distributed weights with a mean of 145 lb and a standard deviation of 29.9 lb. a. If a pilot is randomly​ selected, find the probability that his weight is between 140 lb and 191 lb.

et loans (he doesn't "earn" income). With the loans (L) he needs to decide between first period consumption (C1) and investment (I). The amount invested will allow him to get a second period income Y with probability P which is increasing in I (therefore, P(I)), In case of success and the person obtain Y, the individual should use Y to repay the loan (L) that he requested in the first period and consume in the second period (C2). However, with probability 1 - P(I), the person don't get Y and therefore only consume C1. Note that if the individual only invest the loan (L=I) and don't obtain Y, he can't consume anything. That motivates him not to invest the whole loan and keep part of the loan in order to warrant at least first period consumption. Therefore, considering B the parameter for the time preference, the problem would be: max U=ln(C1) + Bln(C2) s.t: L = I + C1 Y(I) = L(1+r) + C2 with Probability P(I) or s.t: L = I + C1 with probability 1 - P(I) My question is, Have you ever seen something like this? If yes, how to proceed? What is more important, I really need a bibliography (a book or article talking about this)

selected, what is the probability that the subject is not​ lying? Is the result close to the probability of 0.395 for a negative test​ result? Did the Subject Actually​ Lie?

36 Using your knowledge of probability, why should Nizar have known that his answer was NOT correct and gone back to review his calculations? 2. A four-colored spinner was spun 80 times. The spinner landed on green 15 times, yellow 30 times, blue 10 times, and red 25. Based on this data, what is the experimental probability of the spinner landing on green? (Write your answer as a fraction in lowest terms.) 3. If the probability that a certain mechanical part in your new car will fail this year is 0.05, what is the probability that the mechanical part will not fail this first year? 4. A coin is loaded so that the probability of getting tails is 1/4. If the coin is flipped twice, what is the probability of getting tails twice? 5.If a 6-sided die is tossed and then a coin is flipped, what is the probability that an odd number is rolled and the coin lands on heads? 6.A field goal kicker makes 3 of every 7 attempts at a field goal. If he kicks 4 field goals in a certain game, what is the probability that he'll make all four? (Write your answer as a fraction in lowest terms.)

2)(x - 3)(x + 3) d. (x2 - 4)(x2+ 9) Value: 1 The table below shows the cost of purchasing a standard stapler at five office supply stores, A through E. If the median cost of purchasing a standard stapler for these stores was $17.99, which of the following could NOT have been the cost of the stapler for Store A? staplergraph.jpg a. $19.95 b. $18.95 c. $16.95 d. $19.25 Value: 1 If equation image indicator then x = a. 7 b. 1/5 c. 5 d. 1/7 Value: 1 A six−sided die, with sides numbered 1,2, 3,4,5, and 6, is tossed. What is the probability of tossing a number less than three? a. 1/3 b. 0 c. 1/2 d. 1/4 Value: 1 If 6m + 4 = 8m, then 4m = a. 6 b. 2 c. 8 d. 4 Value: 1 In the xy-plane, what is the y-intercept of the graph of the equation equation image indicator? a. 2 b. 4 c. 16 d. There is no y-intercept. Value: 1 Which of the following equations has both 2 and −4 as solutions? a. x2 + 6x + 8 = 0 b. x2 - 2x - 8 = 0 c. x2 + 2x - 8 = 0 d. x2 - 2x + 8 = 0 Value: 1 The perimeter of a square is 20 ft. If you increase the length of the square by 2 feet and decrease the width by 1 foot, what is the area, in square feet, of the new figure? a. 22 b. 28 c. 35 d. 40 Value: 1 (3x-2y4)-3 = a. equation image indicator b. equation image indicator c. equation image indicator d. equation image indicator Value: 1 A softball is tossed into the air upward from a first floor balcony. The distance of the ball above the ground at any time is given by the function, distance function.png, where h(t) is the height of the softball above the ground (in feet) and t is the time (in seconds). What was the maximum height, in feet, of the softball above the ground after it was thrown? a. 28 b. 30 c. 32 d. 34 Value: 1 A group of 100 people, some students and some faculty, attended a museum opening. Each student paid $10 per person for entrance to the museum and each of the faculty paid $25 per person for entrance. If the total paid, for all 100 people, was $1300, how many students attended the museum opening? a. 20 b. 50 c. 70 d. 80 Value: 1 The ratio of Sam's age to Hank's age is 5 to 3. If the sum of their ages is 24, how old is Hank? a. 21 b. 15 c. 19 d. 9 Value: 1 In the xy−coordinate plane shown below, point P has coordinates (8, −6). Which of the following is an equation of the line that contains points O and P? O and P graph.jpg a. equation image indicator b. equation image indicator c. equation image indicator d. equation image indicator Value: 1 The variables x and y are inversely proportional, and y = 2 when x = 3. What is the value of y when x = 9? a. 54 b. 6 c. 2/3 d. 3/2 Value: 1 A farmer has 1235 trees to be planted on a rectangular parcel of land. If there are 24 trees planted in each row and each row must be complete before it is planted, how many trees will be left over after planting? a. 21 b. 11 c. 0 d. 55

convergence in distribution, characteristic function among other things. I am looking for a tutor who has good understanding in measure-based probability theory. I would like to solve the attached exercises with your help.

is a multiple of three or greater than eight. A certain game consist of rolling a single fair die and pays off as follows nine dollars for a six, six dollars for a five, one dollar for four and no payoffs otherwise.Find the expected winnings for this game. A fair die is rolled four times. A 6 is considered success While all other outcomes are failures find the probability of three successes. A pet store has nine puppies including 4 poodles 3 terriers and 2 retrievers. If Rebecca an errand in that order each select one puppy at random without replacement find the probability that Aaron select a retriever given that from last Rebecca selects a poodle. Experience shows that a ski lodge will be for (166 guests) if there is a heavy snowfall in December, well only partially full (52 guests) With a light snowfall. What is the expected number of guests if the probability for a heavy snowfall is 0.40? I assume that heavy snowfall and light snowfall are the only two possibilities. A pet store has six puppies Including two poodles two Terriers and to retrievers. If Rebecca and Aaron in that order each select one puppy random with replacement (They both may select the same one) Find the probability That Rebecca selects a terrier and Aaron selects a retriever. Three married couples arrange themselves randomly in six consecutive seats in a row. Determine (A) the number of ways the following event can occur, And (B) the probability of the event. (The denominator of the probability fraction will be 6!=720, The total number of ways to arrange six items ). Each man was that immediately to the right of his wife. A coin is tossed five times. Find the probability that all our heads. Find the probability that at least three are heads. A certain prescription drug is known to produce undesirable facts and 35% of all patients due to drug. Among a random sample of a patient using a drug find the probability of the stated event. Exactly 5 have undesired effects. 10,000 raffle tickets are sold. One first prize of 1600, for second prizes of 800 each, And 9/3 prizes of 300 each or to be awarded with all winners selected randomly. If you purchase one ticket what are your expected winnings. Suppose a charitable organization decides to Raise money by raffling A trip worth 500. If 3000 tickets are sold at one dollar each find the expected net winnings for a person who buys one ticket. Round to the nearest cent Three men and seven women are waiting to be interviewed for jobs. If they are selected in random order find the probability that all men will be interviewed first A fair diet is rolled. What is the probability of rolling on our number or a number less than three. The pet store has 15 puppies, including five poodles, five Terriers, and five retrievers. If Rebecca and Aaron, in that order, select one puppy at random without replacement, find the probability that both select a poodle Beth is taking a nine question multiple-choice test for which each question Has three answer choices, only one of which is correct. Beth decides on answering By rolling a fair die And making the first answer choice if the die shows one or two, The second If the die shows three or four, and the third if the die shows five or six. Find the probability of the stated event. Exactly 6 correct answers For the experiment of drawing a single card from a standard 52 card deck find (a) the probability and (b) the odds are in favor that they do not drive six

with a mean of 25 gm and a standard deviation of 5 gm. (a) If the machine is used 500 times, approximately how many times will it be expected to dispense 30 gm or more of chilli sauce? (b) How can you decrease this number to half? Give a numerical answer. 2. StarTech manufactures re sensors. They use a protective screen for their sensors to protect it from dust. The sensor becomes useless if the thickness of the screen exceeds 0.5 mm. They outsource the production of the screen to a di erent company that claims to manufacture screens with a mean thickness of 0.3 mm and a standard deviation of 0.1 mm. (a) If 10000 screens are manufactured how many will be discarded because they are too thick? (b) If screens less than 0.2 mm are too thin to be used, what is the probability that screens manufactured by the above company will be discarded because they are too thick or too thin? Show the result on a graph. 3. The amount of time that Sam spends playing the guitar is normally distributed with a mean of 15 hours and a standard deviation of 3 hours. (a) Find the probability that he spends between 15 and 18 hours playing the guitar during a given week. (b) What is the probability that he spends less than 3 hours playing the guitar during a given week? 4. Soon after he took oce in 1963, President Johnson was approved by 160 out of a sample of 200 Americans. With growing disillusionment over his Vietnam policy, by 1968 he was approved by only 70 out of a sample of 200 Americans. (a) What is the 90% con dence interval for the percentage of all Americans who approved of Johnson in 1963? In 1968? (b) What is the 90% con dence interval for the change?

his year. I'm looking for a formula that will tell me the probability that a person will cough x number of times in a given week. I started with the Poisson Distribution, but Poisson doesn't seem to take into account standard deviation. To calculate the probability with Poisson, only the mean, expected value, and test value are needed, meaning the variance/standard deviation of the data could vary widely, and you'd still get the same probability distribution. For example, if someone coughed exactly 5 times everyday, you'd get the same probability distribution if this person alternated coughing 0 times one day, 10 times the next, 0 times the next day, 10 times the next, and so on. Does my question make sense? Thanks for your help.